[Rantman] Health Impacts Of Climate Change (Local Seattle but universal message) - on KUOW radio today
rPauli
rpauli at speakeasy.org
Tue Aug 9 11:42:46 EDT 2011
KUOW News <http://kuow.org/news>
http://kuow.org/program.php?id=24203 Click for audio of transcript below
Health Impacts Of Climate Change
Ruby de Luna <http://kuow.org/search.php?get=1&slHostSearch=8>
08/09/2011
Washington state might seem immune to the hot temperatures that are
affecting the rest of the country, but that's not the case. Some people
may reject the idea of climate change, but scientists say summer
temperatures have been climbing over the years, and it will continue to
get hotter over time. It's these kinds of heat conditions that put many
people at risk. Some researchers estimate that in 2004 alone the cost of
hospitalizing people due to extreme heat was nearly a billion dollars.
In the first part of our report on heat and health, KUOW's Ruby de Luna
reports on the health impacts of climate change.
TRANSCRIPT
Remember the heat wave of 2009?
News Clip: "Seattle tied an all--time record high Tuesday, and it's
getting hotter... "
That heat event in the Pacific Northwest lasted a week.
News Clip: "Today, Seattle is supposed to reach triple--digit temps for
the first time ever."
Seattle peaked at 103 degrees, a record high for the area. Well,
scientists say we can expect hotter days ahead.
Richard Fenske is professor of environmental occupational health
sciences at the University of Washington.
Fenske: "When we look across a period of 20 to 40 years, we are
confident that temperatures are increasing, and this will result in
severe heat events and probably longer heat events, but not necessarily
every year."
In 2009, Fenske and his colleagues in the School of Public Health were
awarded a federal grant to study how climate change will affect people's
health. In a nutshell, the study concluded that heat events will likely
lead to what they call excess deaths. How do researchers know that?
Michael Yost: "We counted the dead bodies, and we continue to count them."
That's Michael Yost, also a UW professor in the same department. He and
Fenske are part of the research team that's analyzing the data for the
study.
Here's what they did: They tracked Washington's previous weather records
between May and September for the last 26 years. They noted a rise in
overall temperatures during that time. The team also looked at death
records for the same time period. They found that whenever there was a
heat event, there were more deaths, mostly elderly people.
The thinking goes that if temperatures continue to rise in the next few
decades, so will the number of excess deaths. But it's hard to predict
just exactly how much warmer it's going to be, or how many hot days
we're going to have. So, Fenske and Yost came up with a range of
scenarios. On the low end, the region may have only 16 extreme heat days
in a given year; or, on the high end, as many as 30 days.
Yost: "What we're trying to do is to not simply say this is one possible
outcome in the future, but to simulate many possible outcomes, and so
what we end up with is a range of possible values for how many heat
events might occur in, say, 2025."
The study's goal is to help local public health agencies and emergency
responders prepare for heat events. Richard Fenske says this will
prevent deaths and unnecessary hospitalizations.
Fenske: "We can develop a warning systems, education, transportation
systems to get elderly people to cool environments, like a public
library, during a heat event. There are ways to prevent these deaths if
we choose to do so, but we have to know where and when they might occur."
And since extreme heat days are uncommon in the Puget Sound region, most
homes don't have cooling systems. And when it does get hot, especially
for an extended period of time, most people don't know how to deal with
the heat or lose the ability to take precaution.
Susan Allan: "As we age, our ability to deal with heat gets poorer and
poorer in lots of ways. Our bodies don't regulate and respond to heat
nearly as effectively as we get older."
Susan Allan is director of the Northwest Center for Public Health
Practice at the University of Washington. Before that, she worked more
than two decades in public health.
She says older people aren't the only ones who are vulnerable to heat.
People with respiratory conditions like asthma are at risk. People with
health issues, such as high blood pressure, cardiovascular disease,
kidney disease and diabetes are also affected.
Allan: "Heat stress can make any of those conditions worse, or
precipitate a health crisis for people with a wide range of diseases."
Allan is also part of the UW research team. Her role is to present these
findings on heat--related deaths to communities so they can develop
long--range action plans and policies. Allan says most communities now
plan for heat events as part of their emergency response, just like they
would for flooding or earthquakes.
But planners may have to rethink how best to create public awareness in
a region that's not used to heat events. They may also think about what
kind of resources they may want to invest in, say, emergency medical
services (or EMS), given that future heat events are expected to become
more routine.
Allan: "With some numbers to predict how many more of these things are
likely to be, that might help make the shift from, Well, EMS just goes
on overtime, to, We really need to start working on the community so
people don't need to call EMS because they're not getting sick."
Beyond planning emergency responses, communities could use the
information to consider changes in the environment, like adding more
parks or community centers. This would be especially useful in poorer
neighborhoods where residents may have limited options for cooling off.
I'm Ruby de Luna, KUOW News.
© Copyright 2011, KUOW
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